Obama Campaign Picks John Kerry As Debate Surrogate

In 2006 John Kerry trailed George Bush badly in the polls but he made the race quite close after demolishing Bush in the debates. A few more voting machines in urban areas of Ohio could have changed the outcome. In 2012 John Kerry gets to debate in a presidential contest again–this time playing Mitt Romney in Barrack Obama’s debate preparation. Kerry might have some valuable insight into how Romney might debate:

Kerry has long been considered one of the Democratic Party’s most skilled debaters, and his performances in more than 25 debates in the 2004 race earned plaudits. Some credited his strong debates against President George W. Bush with tightening the race in the closing weeks of the 2004 campaign.

It is his perspective on Romney, though, that could be especially valuable for Obama. Kerry was a key surrogate on behalf of the late Sen. Edward M. Kennedy (D-Mass.) when he defeated Romney in 1994. And Kerry closely observe Romney’s successful 2002 gubernatorial campaign, where his performance in debates against Democrat Shannon O’Brien were believed to have helped him win.

“There is no one that has more experience or understanding of the presidential debate process than John Kerry,” said David Axelrod, Obama’s chief strategist. “He’s an expert debater who has a fundamental mastery of a wide range of issues, including Mitt Romney’s Massachusetts. He’s the obvious choice.”

There’s an added irony here. In 2008 Republicans falsely called Kerry a flip-flopper when Kerry’s actual views did not match the views the Republicans attributed to him. Mitt Romney, on the other hand, is a true flip-flopper, who will say anything at any time to attract votes.

Mitt Romney has spent much of his campaign outright lying about Barack Obama’s views and record. It will be interesting to see what happens during a debate when Obama is present to counter with his actual views and record.

Mitt Romney Stands By What He Said, “Whatever It Was”

A super PAC supporting Mitt Romney had planned to release an add reviving the Reverend Wright attack line against Obama. Apparently someone in Romney’s campaign realized that this could backfire. Romney said that bringing this up would be the “wrong course” and the ad was dropped. (There is also some question as to whether the PAC actually planned to release the  ad or if this was just a way to dominate a news cycle).

Romney might have come out of this looking good if not for the fact that he previously raised Wright when appearing on Sean Hannity’s show in February.

The video is above. Here is a summary from ABC News:

In the clip, after Hannity played a sound bite of Obama saying, “Whatever we once were, we are no longer a Christian nation,” Romney said he believed Obama didn’t understand “that Judeo Christian philosophy is an integral part of our foundation.”

“I’m not sure which is worse: him listening to Rev. Wright or him saying we must be a less-Christian nation,” Romney said.

Needless to say, besides bringing up Wright on his own, Romney is also wrong in his belief that this is a Christian nation, contradicting the views of the Founding Fathers.

Romney made matters worse for himself when asked if he agrees with his former statement (which contradicts the view he expressed today). Here is the transcript of the exchange  (with video above via ThinkProgress):

QUESTION: “When you did an interview with Sean Hannity in February, you said that you believed that Obama is trying to make America a less Christian nation. It was responding to quote that he had just played for you on the radio. Do you stand by that? And do you believe that President Obama’s world view was shaped by Reverend Wright and do you see evidence of that in his policies?”

ROMNEY:I’m not familiar precisely with what I said, but I’ll stand by what I said, whatever it was.”

This is reminiscent of the comment which hurt John Kerry in 2004: “”I actually did vote for the $87 billion before I voted against it.” While poorly worded, Kerry’s gaffe actually did make sense in context. There were two different votes with differences in how the supply was funded. Kerry is hardly the only Senator to vote in different ways when there are significant changes in different versions of a bill.

In contrast, Romney’s statement reinforces what we have already seen. Romney will say whatever he sees as politically beneficial at the time, regardless of  what he might actually believe, and regardless of the facts.

Someone such as Romney who takes different positions on different days will inevitably have difficulty recalling what position they took on a prior day. It might be fun to ask Romney about more of his previous statements. We could see how many he actually remembers, and how often he will stand by previous statements contradicting current statements.

 

Mitt Romney’s Tax Return Fiction

Mitt Romney sure is making it look like he has something to hide in his tax returns. His father set a standard which Mitt has no intention of keeping: “Releasing a single return wouldn’t prove anything, he told the magazine’s senior editor, T. George Harris. It could be a fluke, or even a cynical manipulation designed to make the candidate look good. What really mattered was how a candidate managed his personal finances over the long haul.” Romney has released one return and an estimate for this year. This provides no information about his tax returns while building his fortune.

Today Romney claimed, “we’ve had people run for president before, and they’ve released two years. John Kerry released two years of taxes.”

Of course we know that Romney was lying because of one easy test–his lips were moving. Actually Kerry released returns for twenty years.

Republicans Announce New Proposal To Kill Medicare

No matter what claims you hear to the contrary, the Republicans really are trying to kill Medicare. Past Republican plans would come pretty close to doing that. Now the Republicans are taking this even further with their latest proposal, even extending this to those currently on Medicare.  Dana Milbank explained in his column yesterday:

Republican lawmakers announced their proposal to abolish Medicare — “sunset” was their pseudo-verb — even for those currently on the program or nearing retirement.

In Medicare’s place would be a private plan that would raise the eligibility age and shift trillions of dollars worth of health-care coverage from the government to the elderly. “This will be the new Medicare,” Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.), the proposal’s author, announced.

For years, Republicans have insisted that they would not end Medicare as we know it and that any changes to the program would not affect those in or near retirement. In the span of 20 minutes Thursday, they jettisoned both promises…

All the details aren’t out, but Paul says his plan would cut funding of Medicare by $1 trillion over 10 years and reduce Medicare’s liabilities by $16 trillion. It would do that by enrolling Medicare recipients in the health plan now used by federal workers. The government would pay 75 percent of the insurance premium on average but 30 percent or less for those who earned more than $100,000 a year. The eligibility age would gradually be raised to 70 from 65. If seniors can’t afford their share of the premium, they can apply for Medicaid, the health program for the poor.

Paul claimed his idea came from the Democrats’ 2004 presidential platform. But John Kerry wanted to extend the federal employee health plan to the general population, not to Medicare recipients. The 2004 platform vowed to “oppose privatizing Medicare.”

Conservatives and Mitt Romney

There are some conservatives who believe they should rally behind Mitt Romney as the most electable candidate, but I’m seeing far more comments from conservatives similar to the views of Erik Ercikson:

Should Mitt Romney win the Presidency, conservatives will find this pattern play out repeatedly. Romney will head in a direction conservatives do not like and they will bitch and moan repeatedly and maybe, just maybe, he’ll part his hair in their direction.

We’ve seen this play out over and over. Jon Huntsman comes up with the best economic plan of all the candidates, Herman Cain follows up with 999, Perry comes out with a flat tax, and Romney refuses to do anything. Until he does something.

Mitt Romney is not the George W. Bush of 2012 — he is the Harriet Miers of 2012, only conservative because a few conservative grand pooh-bahs tell us Mitt Romney is conservative and for no other reason.

That is precisely why Mitt Romney will not win in 2012. But no worry, once he loses, Republican establishment types will blame conservatives for not doing enough for Mitt Romney, never mind that Mitt Romney has never been able to sell himself to more than 25% of the GOP voters. It’s not his fault though, it is the 75%’s fault.

Mitt Romney is going to be the Republican nominee. And his general election campaign will be an utter disaster for conservatives as he takes the GOP down with him and burns up what it means to be a conservative in the process…

Mitt Romney, on the other hand, is a man devoid of any principles other than getting himself elected. As much as the American public does not like Barack Obama, they loath a man so fueled with ambition that he will say or do anything to get himself elected. Mitt Romney is that man.

I’ve been reading the 200 pages of single spaced opposition research from the John McCain campaign on Mitt Romney. There is no issue I can find on which Mitt Romney has not taken both sides. He is neither liberal nor conservative. He is simply unprincipled. The man has no core beliefs other than in himself. You want him to be tough? He’ll be tough. You want him to be sensitive? He’ll be sensitive. You want him to be for killing the unborn? He’ll go all in on abortion rights until he wants to run for an office where it is not in his advantage…

To beat Barack Obama, a candidate must paint a bold contrast with the Democrats on their policies. When Mitt Romney tries, Barack Obama will be able to show that just the other day Mitt Romney held exactly the opposite position as the one he holds today.

Voters may not like Barack Obama, but by the time Obama is done with Romney they will not trust Mitt Romney. And voters would rather the guy they don’t like than they guy they don’t trust.

While we might disagree as to whether holding conservative positions is desirable, I do agree with Erickson that conservatives cannot trust Romney to promote their views despite taking a hard line conservative position on many issues. Neither can liberals or moderates count on Romney promoting their views. There is just no way to predict what Romney will do as he has taken such contradictory positions on so many issues.

This raises the question as to whether Romney really is the most electable Republican, despite polls which now suggest that he is. Romney’s character, or lack of character, will probably become the key issue of the election. Many conservatives will support him if he is the Republican candidate, supporting anyone over Obama, but others will stay home. Fabricated charges of flip-flopping against John Kerry created by distorting his statements were harmful enough. Multiple actual examples of flip-flopping should be even more harmful for Romney. George Bush was reelected in 2004 despite a terrible record and a low approval rating due to the right wing base turning out in record numbers. Romney will not benefit from such a conservative turn out, which might also be harmful to Republican candidates down ticket.

Romney Flip-Flops

Mitt Romney appears to be the Republican front runner but I think it means something (and not that Herman Cain is yet a credible candidate) when Cain is the latest in a string of conservative Republicans to challenge Romney in the polls. (It would also be cause for concern that Cain is beating Obama in a poll if we had any reason to believe that this unknown poll is valid).

As long as Romney is the front runner we are going to be hearing a lot of quiet questions about Mormons and more open attacks on flip-flopping. There were recent articles on  Romney’s flip-flops at  The Daily Beast and from AP. The comparisons to John Kerry were inevitable except that, while the flip-flopping charges against Kerry were generally based upon distortions of his views and one poorly worded clip taken out of context, Mitt Romney really does have a history of radically changing his views based upon what is politically most expedient. Personally I sort of like the Mitt Romney in this video from 1994:

The DNC is having some fun with Romney’s flip-flops by launching Which Mitt? The web site presents a multiple choice test of Mitt Romney’s positions on various issues. Hint: Go with “All of the above.”

 

Kerry And Axelrod On The Tea Party Downgrade

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John Kerry explained the problems caused by the tea party influence on the Republican Party which led S&P to downgrade our credit rating on Meet the Press (video above). I discussed this issue more here, including in the comments.

Tea Party Downgrade is an obvious name for what occurred, and John Kerry isn’t the only one who used this term. David Axelrod said the same on Face the Nation:

This was a “tea party downgrade,” said Axelrod on CBS News’ Face the Nation.

Axelrod said S&P’s decision was “largely a political analysis.” “And that’s what we should focus on because what they were saying is they want to see the political system work. They want to see a sense of compromise. They want to see the kind of solution that the president has been fighting for, a large solution that will deal with the problem, that will be balanced, that will include revenues.”

Instead, said Axelrod, conservative, Tea Party-influenced Republicans “played brinksmanship with the full faith and credit of the United States. And this was the result of that.”

“It was the wrong thing to do to push the country to that point” he said. “And it’s something that should never have happened. And that clearly is on the backs of those who were willing to see the country default, those very strident voices in the tea party.”

Republicans’ handling of the debt debate “was atrocious and that contributed to [S&P’s] analysis,” he concluded.

Quote of the Day

“I guess everyone here has heard that biblical experts expect the world is going to end at 6 o’clock tonight. After this week that’s not a minute too soon for Newt Gingrich.” –John Kerry

Osama bin Laden Is Still Dead: Top Stories On The Attack

Osama bin Laden is still dead, and there is a lot of interesting things to read since the initial post here (which includes video and text of President Obamas statement).

Business Insider reports that President Obama watched the raid live via a helmet-cam.  The picture above shows Obama and others watching in the Situation Room.

The New York Times reports on the detective work which helped make this possible.  Remember when  George Bush mocked John Kerry for stressing the importance of intelligence and police work  (along with military action) in fighting terrorism?

Marc Ambinder reports on the secret team which carried out the attack.

WikLleaks claims documents show that Pakistan protected bin Laden. Deputy National Security Adviser John Brennan, Obama’s top counterterrorism adviser, called it “inconceivable” that Pakistan was not providing a “support system” for Osama bin Laden.

Wing nuts on Andrew Breitbart’s web site came up with new conspiracy theory that bin Laden is not dead. They have been labeled “deathers.” Joe Scarborough, who should know better, engages in wing nut thought claiming Obama’s base did not want bin Laden dead. Of course there are nuts on the left as well as the right, with Cindy Sheehan joining those who claim that bin Laden is not dead.

There are varying views as to how what degree the death of bin Laden will affect Obama politically.  While the election will still be more likely to be decided by the economy, this could be huge. A common conservative meme is that Obama is not up for the job. Comparing this action to how Bush botched his chance against bin Laden at Tora Bora shows what a competent president really looks like. It will also be quite hard for conservatives to get away with the claims that they could keep the country safer or that liberals are soft on terrorism.

Twitter has had a CNN moment with coverage of the attack. TechCrunch reports that this was a record evening on Twitter with 4000 tweets per second.  Here’s a story on the person who first reported news of the raid via Twitter. Keith Urbahn  is given credit for being  the first  to tweet having a reliable source that bin Laden was dead.

Google has already mapped out bin Laden’s hideout.

Obama Releases Long Form Birth Certificate, Further Proving That Donald Trump Is Delusional

Barack Obama released a certification of live birth in 2008 which provided full legal documentation of his status as a native born American citizen. There was absolutely no need for him to do more but. In response to the increased attention to the story in the media, Obama arranged to have the long form, which normally is not released, made public today. The White House Blog provided the following explanation:

In 2008, in response to media inquiries, the President’s campaign requested his birth certificate from the state of Hawaii. The state sent the campaign the President’s birth certificate, the same legal documentation provided to all Hawaiians as proof of birth in state, and the campaign immediately posted it on the internet. That birth certificate can be seen here (PDF).

When any citizen born in Hawaii requests their birth certificate, they receive exactly what the President received. In fact, the document posted on the campaign website is what Hawaiians use to get a driver’s license from the state and the document recognized by the Federal Government and the courts for all legal purposes. That’s because it is the birth certificate. This is not and should not be an open question.

The President believed the distraction over his birth certificate wasn’t good for the country. It may have been good politics and good TV, but it was bad for the American people and distracting from the many challenges we face as a country. Therefore, the President directed his counsel to review the legal authority for seeking access to the long form certificate and to request on that basis that the Hawaii State Department of Health make an exception to release a copy of his long form birth certificate. They granted that exception in part because of the tremendous volume of requests they had been getting. President Barack Obama’s long form birth certificate can be seen here (PDF).

Of course this won’t stop the false claims from the right any more than the bogus accusations against John Kerry stopped after he released his military records. The right wing attackers simply do not care about the truth, either in their personal attacks or in their discussion of policy matters. They lie because they know their views cannot stand up to the truth, and because their dominance over much of the news media allows them to get away with it. Many Birthers are now either questioning the validity of the birth certificate or claiming that this does not disprove their claim that Barack Obama is ineligible to be president. Leaders on the far right know that race-baiting works, and are not about to stop.

Some are asking why it took Obama so long to release the long form. Birthers can use the delay to suggest fabrication. Some Obama supporters speculate that Obama was laying a clever trap which many Republicans walked into. My suspicion is that it is simply a matter of living in a bubble. In this case the bubble I’m referring to is not the one which encases all presidents, but the bubble that many politicians and bloggers live in.

While the Birther arguments were commonly heard by those who watch Fox or read the blogs, until recently I bet most Americans didn’t even think about it. Those who did pay attention were people who would never vote for a black or a Democrat regardless of the facts, or liberal bloggers who were already debunking the claims. There was no reason for the White House to take the unusual action of having the long form released. Having a loud-mouth celebrity such as Donald Trump make an issue of this made it necessary for the White House to actually pay attention to this and arrange to have the long form released.

Beyond the questions of whether the Birthers would cease their bogus attacks and why Obama took so long, the next question is whether this was a victory or defeat for Donald Trump. Some conservatives gave the point to Trump, and anyone who has every watched Trump would have expected that Trump would claim this as a victory.

If Trump’s campaign is purely a gigantic publicity stunt to promote Trump’s ego, then in a way he did win. He forced the President of the United States to take unprecedented action in having the long form birth certificate made public.

If the goal was to promote his show, Trump might have miscalculated. With the Republicans moving to the extreme plutocratic right, capitalists these days are increasingly Democrats, not Republicans. Viewership of Celebrity Apprentice tends to be more liberal than other “reality” shows, and Trump’s ridiculous attacks on Obama are costing him viewers.

If we are to take Trump at his word that this is a legitimate presidential campaign, it is not clear if this helps or hurts him in the Republican primaries. Some of his Tea Party supporters might see this as a victory for Trump, but it also takes away Trump’s argument that Obama needs to release the long form. Continued attacks along these lines will only make him look more ridiculous to moderates.

Over sixty percent of this country remains sane enough to never vote for people as nutty and unqualified as either Donald Trump or Sarah Palin. Trump’s problem is not that he needs more media coverage, but that people do not take him seriously. Being proven to be totally wrong on the major issue he is identified with hardly helps his credibility as a presidential candidate.

Those following the story saw today that a major conservative argument, and a belief held by a substantial percentage of Republicans, is wrong. The bigger question is whether more people will go on from there to realize the same is true of pretty much everything conservatives are saying these days.