Comments on: Clinton Holds Seven Point Lead, With Obama Picking Up More Support

By: Obama Surges in Gallup Poll - Liberal Values - Defending Liberty and Enlightened Thought

Sun, 03 Feb 2008 19:40:27 +0000

[...] Clinton Holds Seven Point Lead, With Obama Picking Up More Support [...]

By: Ron Chusid

Ron Chusid — Sun, 03 Feb 2008 16:13:29 +0000

Eric,

It is amazing how many incorrect statements you can make in one small comment.

Obama did not receive a perfect 100. He voted the liberal position on 65 out of 99 votes. That is hardly a perfect 100. He also voted what they consider the conservative position on one of his 66 votes. This gave him the highest score this year because they don’t include votes where he was absent while campaigning. Those who miss the most votes tend to get higher scores. The same poor methodology resulted in ranking Kerry as the most liberal Senator the year he ran, while his rankings have been lower other years. Obama was the 16th most liberal senator in 2005, and the 10th most liberal in 2006 by their rankings.

These are liberal votes. None of them are socialist votes as you claim. These include votes supporting civil liberties, supporting stem cell research, and opposing attempts to restrict abortions.

Liberal bloggers have not ignored this story. I mentioned it many others mentioned it. Of course it was often in the context about how ignorant and dishonest conservatives such as yourself would be likely to distort the story as you are now doing.

By: WonkoBlog » Blog Archive » The Obama algebra

WonkoBlog » Blog Archive » The Obama algebra — Sun, 03 Feb 2008 15:57:58 +0000

[...] That is the dominant metaphor for the Democratic race now. Few predict that Obama will win outright on Tsunami Tuesday, but there is a strong feeling in the Wonkosphere that Obama has the momentum, if not the plurality.He has closed the gap in national polls, and he won the endorsement of Susan Eisenhower: The last time the United States had an open election was 1952. My grandfather was pursued by both political parties and eventually became the Republican nominee. Despite being a charismatic war hero, he did not have an easy ride to the nomination. He went on to win the presidency — with the indispensable help of a “Democrats for Eisenhower” movement. These crossover voters were attracted by his pledge to bring change to Washington and by the prospect that he would unify the nation. It is in this great tradition of crossover voters that I support Barack Obama’s candidacy for president. If the Democratic Party chooses Obama as its candidate, this lifelong Republican will work to get him elected and encourage him to seek strategic solutions to meet America’s greatest challenges. To be successful, our president will need bipartisan help. [...]

By: Eric Dondero

Eric Dondero — Sun, 03 Feb 2008 13:10:48 +0000

National Journal just released their survey of the US Senate. Obama was the most liberal of any of the 100 US Senators, (should read most Socialist.) He scored a perfect 100 on the Index.

Funny how leftwing Bloggers are choosing to ignore this story.

By: Ron Chusid

Ron Chusid — Sat, 02 Feb 2008 23:19:14 +0000

Super Tuesday does play to Clinton’s strengths, both because of the states involved and because having so many states in play works to the advantage of the front runner with better name recognition.

Even if Obama keeps it close in the three states you mention but still loses he could do ok. Hopefully those three states won’t give her significantly more delegates than Obama can pick up, and he can make up the deficit elsewhere. If he’s not too far behind in the delegate count after Super Tuesday he has an excellent chance to take the lead as more states vote on a more leisurely schedule.

The overall trend is that the more people see of Clinton and Obama, the more likely they are to vote for Obama. Unless Clinton has a major victory which blunts Obama’s momentum, the remaining states should continue the trend of moving towards Obama.

By: Luv

Luv — Sat, 02 Feb 2008 23:05:52 +0000

Exactly. A slight uptick for Hillary doesn’t dull Obama’s momentum. And in California where non-Democratic voters ARE allowed to vote, I believe Obama has a very good chance to tie her there at the very least.

And if he does that, I predict he’ll win the nomination because winning California, New York and New Jersey IS Clintons whole strategy.

Again, the Clinton campaign never saw this coming. Their big lead basically evaporated.

By: Ron Chusid

Ron Chusid — Sat, 02 Feb 2008 21:34:34 +0000

Yes, one of the problems I’ve previously mentioned which limit the use of polls to predict primaries is that the polls don’t necessarily pick up the same people who actually vote in the primary.

I’d feel better if Obama had continued to close in on Clinton today, but the overall trend is still in his favor. If he went into the primaries still down twenty points it wouldn’t be realistic to win. With the gap this small either could win.

By: Luv

Luv — Sat, 02 Feb 2008 20:32:14 +0000

Some of these polls are only of DEMOCRATIC voters. They don’t count independents and moderate Republicans, two blocks Obama has a lock on.

And I higly doubt new voters are being counted either. Considering how far Obama used to be down nationally, the Clintons must be sweating bullets.