Sanders Leads Clinton By 16 Points In New Hampshire & Narrows Gap to 10 Points Nationally

Sanders Clinton

We could be seeing the biggest political upset in politics since Hillary Clinton was upset eight years ago. Bernie Sanders now has a sixteen point lead over Hillary Clinton in the latest CNN/WMUR poll in New Hampshire:

Hillary Clinton trails Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders in the race for the Democratic nomination for president in New Hampshire, even if Vice President Joe Biden decides not to make a run for the White House, according to a new CNN/WMUR poll.

Sanders has the backing of nearly half of those who say they plan to vote in the first-in-the-nation Democratic primary next year — 46% support him — while just 30% say they back Clinton. Another 14% say they would support Biden, 2% former Maryland Gov. Martin O’Malley, 1% former Virginia Sen. Jim Webb, and less than half of 1% back former Rhode Island Gov. Lincoln Chafee or Harvard professor Lawrence Lessig.

Clinton trails Sanders across most demographic groups, with broad gender and ideology divides bolstering Sanders’ run. He holds 56% of male Democratic voters compared with just 20% who back her, while the two are much closer among women, 39% back Sanders, 37% Clinton. Likewise, Sanders holds a 56% to 30% lead among liberals, versus a 37% to 31% race among moderates.

Sanders also continues to gain on Clinton in some of the national polls. The Ispos/Reuters Poll shows Sanders down by only ten points:

Hillary Clinton continues to lead among Democrats nationwide, with 40% of Dems. Sanders (30%) has gained ground on the front runner.

National polls are virtually meaningless at this point, but it is worth pointing out how close Sanders is in this poll considering how much noise Clinton supporters make when a poll shows any increase in her support nationally, no matter how briefly this lasts or what the other polls are showing.  Sanders has plenty of opportunity to close the gap nationally should he beat Clinton in New Hampshire and/or Iowa. The debates will also provide a major opportunity for Sanders, even with the limited debate schedule.

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2 Comments

  1. 1
    Randy Ihara says:

    The race between Bernie and Clinton is in flux, but Bernie has the momentum. For example, in August, 2015 Clinton led Bernie in a CBS poll, 58 to 17. One month later, Clinton led Bernie 47 to 27. A Reuters poll in late September had Clinton leading Bernie 40 to 30. In short, in two months Bernie has cut Clinton's lead in the polls from a 41 point lead to a 10 point lead. Similarly, the polls in New Hampshire and Iowa have shown a similar erosion of Clinton's support. In New Hampshire, Bernie has turned a 62 to 18 lead in May to a 16 point lead, 46 to 30, according to a CNN poll released on September 24. Clinton is steadily losing support among men, women, moderates, liberals, and 18-49 year olds. While Bernie is gaining support among those groups.

  2. 2
    MRC says:

    The choice is clear. Voters, once they hear Bernie's message, want a candidate who will work for them. If you are a candidate supported by banks and corporations, you can't support the people. 

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