Final Polls Show Big Leads for Obama

Since my round up of poll results yesterday,additional poll results are in showing the same results. There is little if any evidence of narrowing in the polls, and definitely not enough to change the results.  The final USA Today/Gallup Poll of likely voters (which differs from Gallup’s daily tracking poll) shows Obama leading 53 percent to 42 percent. The final three day Gallup tracking poll came out with similar results. Obama leads in both the traditional and expanded models for likely voters by 53 percent to 42 percent, and leads 53 percent to 40 percent among all registered voters.

The final Marist Poll shows Obama leading 53 percent to 44 percent among likely voters with leaners. This is up from a seven point lead on October 31. Among all registered voters, Obama leads 51 percent to 42 percent.

A Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll does show the race narrowing, but Obama still leads 51 percent to 43 percent among likely voters. While down from a ten point lead last week, this still gives Obama a substantial lead and he remains above fifty percent.

The final Fox News poll shows Obama leading fifty percent to 43 percent among likely voters, up from a three point lead at the end of October.

The state polls also show that McCain will have difficulty in the electoral college. The Reuters/Zogby poll of battleground states includes leads for Obama in Virginia, Ohio, Nevada, Florida, and Pennsylvania. Rasmussen has Obama leading in Pennsylvania by six. Survey USA shows Obama leading in Ohio with Missouri a toss up. Public Policy Polling also shows Missouri tied and a small lead for Obama in Ohio and Montana. Strategic Vision shows Obama leading in Pennsylvania by seven. Quinippiac’s Swing State Poll shows Obama leading in Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania. The Ohio Poll shows Obama leading 51.5 percent to 45.7 percent. Many of these remain close but Obama has enough electoral votes to win in the states where he has a solid lead and at least narrow leads in many other states to give him many paths to victory just in case a large blue state were to flip to McCain. It is hard to see any reasonable path to victory for McCain when he is this far behind in the polls.

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