An Uneventful Day

After six weeks of hype nothing much happened on Tuesday. As most predicted, Clinton won but Obama reduced her lead from earlier polls. While Clinton won in Pennsylvania, the result makes Obama’s nomination a little more certain, and the race will continue with Clinton still remaining in the race.

Clinton will pick up a slightly higher number of delegates than Obama but it won’t have any effect on the race as only a total blow out would have helped. Pennsylvania’s demographics were among the best for Clinton of all the states remaining. If she couldn’t win big in Pennsylvania she won’t be able to do so anywhere else. To eliminate Obama’s lead among pledged delegates she now needs to pick up near 80% of the vote in all the remaining states, which is virtually impossible. Clinton’s only hope is that the superdelegates vote for her over Obama, but far more have superdelegates have committed to Obama than Clinton in the past couple of months.

The spin provided a few moments of amusement. While the Obama camp explained how a Clinton victory wouldn’t change the dynamics of the race, the Clinton camp claimed that even a one point victory would still be a victory. While true, this sure contradicts all the times they claimed that Obama’s victories didn’t count, even when he won by far larger margins than Clinton won in Pennsylvania. Clinton surrogates both argued that it is the popular vote and not delegates which matter, but also declined to agree that Clinton loses if she fails to take the lead in the popular vote. Everyone knows they will come up with yet another argument if unable to take the lead in the popular vote. Hillary believes she is entitled to the nomination and nothing else matters.

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4 Comments

  1. 1
    steve says:

    I’ve noticed that in the last week, Hillary has been pushing the “I’m getting outspent” narrative. Although that’s partly a plea to her supporters for more money, she’s also sending a message to the superdelegates that Obama is essentially buying the nomination and she’d be winning “if only” she had more money.

    This is what irritates me about Hillary more than anything else; virtually everything out of her mouth is an attempt to create an alternate-universe narrative in which she’s the rightful winner. It’s hard to believe that there was ever a time that she talked about policy issues.

  2. 2
    icrutchfield says:

    What a sad spectacle; the suble racism charge that Barack is only the ‘black guy’, and should go back to the end of the line always works with white racists democrats (older generations) who have helped HRC win, although less than 10%.
    Barack has much more integrity than Billary will ever have, and what i can never figure out how people can still vote for Billary, after all the corruption, conflict of interests taking millions from foreign govts. What will be given in return, should the Clintons get back into the WH?
    I hope the delegates take all this into account when making their decisions, and while I know that Barack is not flawless, I still think with a good team he may make a great president.

  3. 3
    Ron Chusid says:

    The outspent narrative really is absurd. Clinton started out with all the advantages with regards to fund raising. If Obama brought in more money it means two things–he ran a better organization and he has far more small donors willing to contribute to him.

    The first signs of this came early in the race when they were bringing in similar amounts of money. The difference is that Clinton received hers from big donors who maxed out, while Obama received small amounts from a larger number of people who kept on giving.

    Clinton wants to give the impression that having more money means being the candidate of the fat cats when actually the opposite is true.

  4. 4
    Lex says:

    …and nothing else matters.

    It’s tired, it’s old, and it isn’t even funny anymore. The quivering lip fear of the superdelegates is disgusting…and that’s all that it is. The supers are afraid to raise the ire of the Clintons. But you know what they say, “If you can’t stand the heat, get out of the kitchen.”

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