Last week the big topic of discussion around the blogosphere was that most bloggers are not endorsing candidates yet. While probably coincidence, maybe that gave a push to some bloggers to be contrary and start taking sides. I’ve noticed two recent endorsements around the blogosphere, one of which I agree with.
Steve Soto has endorsed Hillary Clinton, primarily stressing her abilities as a campaigner, as opposed to her views. While I disagree in supporting Clinton, I must repeat what I’ve already conceded that she has done the best job in the debates, and she will be difficult to beat. While Clinton still needs to do a lot more to sell me on supporting her, over the course of the campaign my position has shifted from being able to perhaps consider anyone but Clinton to anyone but Edwards. (If they had a ghost of a chance of winning the nomination I’d also throw Gravel and Kucinich into this category.) Clinton also received a major non-blogosphere endorsement from Diane Feinstein, who I’ve had little respect for after her support for Bush’s disastrous Medicare D program.
Freedom Democrats has made an assessment similar to mine that at present Richardson and Obama are the only candidates who I could see really supporting, as opposed to voting for as the lesser of two evils against the Republicans. We also share a distaste for John Edwards’ new populist image. Their post, like Soto’s, concentrates largely on matters of electability, as well as growing the party. They make a good point that “Barack Obama would be more successful in courting newer professional voters.” They also see Richardson of value in the west, a “region vital to my idea of a liberal-libertarian alliance in the Democratic Party.”
At the moment I’m looking far more at the views of the candidates than questions of electability, allowing the campaign to play out to separate those who are electable. If I were to look at electability, Richardson would appear weaker compared to Clinton and Obama at the present, but looking at his stump speech in New Hampshire gives me hope that this could change. Edwards would be a disaster for the party, and fortunately has fallen behind Richardson in New Hampshire. Just as Obama would help bring in more professionals, Edwards, with the exception of trial lawyers, would drive away large numbers of former “Starbucks Republicans” who are starting to vote Democratic.
If Richardson remains far behind Clinton and Obama, the race very well could remain a contest between these two. The battle between them heated up this week and Obama now looks like the big winner of that scuffle. Obama has reduced Clinton to having to argue that she is not a “Bush/Cheney light” and has helped to reduce any advantage she might have had on foreign policy. Of course if things continue to go poorly in Iraq, Obama’s judgement will trump Hillary’s experience and he could very well beat her in both Iowa and New Hampshire.