Richardson To Officially Announce; Surges in One Measure

Bill Richardson is going to officially announce his candidacy on Monday in Los Angeles. It might be a long shot campaign, but Irregular Times presents some evidence that Richardson is surging. They have been tracking support for candidates based upon campaign paraphernalia sold, finding a jump in sales for Richardson supporters last week.

There are obvious limitations to this technique, and it is remarkably vulnerable to manipulation should it ever be followed as a serious measure of candidate strength. Irregular Times  speculates that Richardson’s surge may be a consequence of the plans to officially announce his candidacy, as well as receiving favorable coverage when the media pays any attention to him, such as an editorial today in the Delaware News Journal:

I have no doubt that Richardson would produce an effective foreign policy as well as get us on the right track to effective energy and immigration policies. Richardson rejects a foreign policy that employs diplomacy only when the other party exhibits good behavior. He believes that labeling those who disagree with us as “evil,” attacking and occupying nations without good and clear reasons are the wrong approaches and have led us to where we are today.

Unlike most of the other candidates, Richardson has actually sat down with North Koreans, Iraqis (when Saddam Hussein was in power) and Cubans. He has had some success on issues such as nuclear weapons and immigration.

Richardson’s recent visits to North Korea and Sudan prove that diplomatic efforts for a better world are an integral part of his life and not just politics.

With Richardson in Washington, we would re-establish alliances that worked in the past. We would also recognize the importance of joining and respecting international treaties. Under his leadership we would redefine what constitutes a real threat to the United States based on intelligence that isn’t manipulated. We now know that fighting terrorism with terrorism will only lead to more terrorism…

In 2008, we will choose a new president, and I hope that we choose the person with the most experience and common sense — Bill Richardson. It’s time to elect a person who has not only had experience as a governor, at the federal and international level, but who is also aware that our survival as a nation depends greatly on how we deal with others throughout the world.

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6 Comments

  1. 1
    Proto says:

    The thing is, though, that if someone were to try to manipulate it, they would have to spend quite a bit of money to do so. That’s what separates this from polls, where the manipulation can take place through simple hacking or design bias.

  2. 2
    Ron Chusid says:

    Proto,

    I don’t know how the sales are, but I bet that if this method was ever followed in the way that major polls are some of the campaigns would throw in money to manipulate this. Of course recognition of this will prevent it from ever receiving wide spread attention.

    Obviously one week means little. It will be interesting to see if Richardson’s surge is part of a trend and if it correlates with greater success.

  3. 3
    Mark says:

    I am not very liberal but I do like Bill Richardson a lot. I think he shows the necessary compassion with the ability to be tough when necessary on so many issues. I like your site by the way and particularly those flags you have at the top with translations available for your readers. Excellent idea and first time I’ve seen that.

    Nice job.

  4. 4
    Ron Chusid says:

    Thanks. There’s a few widgets like this floating around to automate translations. For the most part I think people only surf US blogs if they can read English, but ocassionally someone does use the translations.

  5. 5
    battlebob says:

    Ron,
    I beleive Richardson had a couple of scandels during his tenure as DOE.
    Will this hurt him much?

  6. 6
    Ron Chusid says:

    Battlebob,

    I’m not sure thatn any of them amount to much. If there’s anything to them, most likely they will come out if he becomes a significant candidate for the nomination and we can see if there is anything which would create a problem in a general election campaign.

    While this campaign seems way too long, at least there’s plenty of time to examine the candidates for skeletons which would create major problems.

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