The latest survey from the Pew Research Center presents news favorable to Democrats. If the election were held today, 50% say they would vote Democratic and only 39% say they would vote Republican. It’s clear why the Republicans are resorting to slime, as opposed to running on ideas as Harold Myerson discussed in his last column. The voters oppose the Republicans on virtually every issue:
Republicans can’t talk about issues like the economy, health care, or the environment as their policies have all been failures. Wedge issues like homosexuality and abortion no longer work for them. Even promises of tax cuts (regardless of whether the country can afford them, and regardless of their effect on the deficit) no longer even work for the GOP. All the Republicans have is resorting to personal attacks, and continuing to mislead the country on terrorism in the hopes that this will scare enough voters into voting for them.
Even the Republican’s advantage on terrorism has decreased from thirty points at the beginning of the year to nine percent. The number of people who believe we are losing the war on terror is approximately the same as those who believe we are winning (41% t0 39%) making it hard for Republicans to successfully run on this issue. The more they try to use fear, the more voters will see the Republicans as having been unsuccessful in keeping the nation safe.
The Gallup Poll has similar bad news for Republicans. Just as in the Pew survey, majorities prefer Democrats on the generic ballot and support the Democrats on most issues. Republicans often deny the results of polls which shows them doing poorly by claiming that the poll “over-samples” Democrats. There’s a good reason why recent polls are showing more Democrats. The Gallup Poll shows a steady increase in the number of people identifying themselves as Democrats and reduction in Republicans. This is really no surprise. If people are telling pollsters they plan to vote for the Democrat, and that they agree with the Democrats on the issues, naturally they are now more likely to also identify themselves as Democrats.