There’s more signs that Republicans might not be able to capitalize on fear to win this fall. A CBS News poll shows that fifty-four percent of Americans say they generally feel safe, but 46 percent feel somewhat uneasy or in danger. Compared to five years ago, 39 percent of Americans say they feel less safe now, with only 14 percent saying they feel safer. Fighting in Iraq has not helped the Republicans. By a four-to-one margin, 48 percent to 12 percent, Americans think the war in Iraq has made the threat of terrorism against the United States greater rather than better.
A CNN poll released yesterday showed that fifty-five percent said they would be less likely to vote for a candidate who has supported Bush administration policies. In this poll, 53 percent said they believe the war in Iraq is separate from fighting terrorism while 45 percent said they believe it is connected.
AP reports that dissatisfaction with the war is even hurting Bush in the south. While the gender gap collapsed in 2004, it is returning and may impact the elections. “A recent Associated Press-Ipsos poll found that three out of five Southern women surveyed said they planned to vote for a Democrat in the midterm elections. With control of the Senate and House in the balance, such a seismic shift could have dire consequences for the GOP.”